Thanks to Gary North’s article Video: The Government Has Three Weeks to Get a Handle on the Coronavirus
The article that sparked the interview is: A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data. If you don’t have time to watch the hour-long interview, you can at least read the article.
(Executive summary: It’s mainly a plea for better information, more testing sowe can at least get a handle on what’s happening out there.
I can’t blame the man for asking for that, at least. Otherwise, we get situations like:
This evidence fiasco creates tremendous uncertainty about the risk of dying from Covid-19. Reported case fatality rates, like the official 3.4% rate from the World Health Organization, cause horror — and are meaningless. Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes. As most health systems have limited testing capacity, selection bias may even worsen in the near future.
The one situation where an entire, closed population was tested was the Diamond Princess cruise ship and its quarantine passengers. The case fatality rate there was 1.0%, but this was a largely elderly population, in which the death rate from Covid-19 is much higher.
Side note: the good professor has been (very gently, cordially, and scholarly) yelling about bad data for a very long time now, enough to annoy certain other scientists.