US Deaths Range: 38,000 to 168,000

March 26 (Reuters) – The coronavirus pandemic could kill more than 81,000 people in the United States in the next four months and may not subside until June, according to a data analysis done by University of Washington School of Medicine.

The number of hospitalized patients is expected to peak nationally by the second week of April, though the peak may come later in some states. Some people could continue to die of the virus as late as July, although deaths should be below epidemic levels of 10 per day by June at the latest, according to the analysis.

The analysis, using data from governments, hospitals and other sources, predicts that the number of U.S. deaths could vary widely, ranging from as low as around 38,000 to as high as around 162,000.

From Reuters : Coronavirus could kill 81,000 in U.S., subside in June -Washington University analysis

Well, at least we got a number for the US.

So now, I’m left waiting for June and praying that today’s killer will keep its hands off the little ones.

The article link is from North’s article The Best Medical News Is Grim, who reminds us that the ordinary death toll from the flu – 30,000 to 60,000 – is also on track. “Both/and”, not “Either/or”.

It’s not so bad from my perspective: we have a reasonable ceiling, and a timeframe for things to get back to normal.

PS: “Get back to normal”


“Hustle to adopt to the Coronavirus Depression.”


Don’t lose your job.

If you lost it, get another one. Fast.

Cut spending to the bone.”

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