Maybe you don’t remember that the avian flu of 2006 didn’t amount to much. It’s true, despite all the extreme warnings about its lethality, H5N1 didn’t turn into much at all. What it did do, however, was send the existing president, George W. Bush, to the library to read about the 1918 flu and its catastrophic results. He asked for some experts to submit some plans to him about what to do when the real thing comes along.The 2006 Origins of the Lockdown Idea by Jeffrey A. Tucker
So I read in The 2006 Origins of the Lockdown Idea that
- a bright young girl uses a computer simulation to imitate a disease, and suggests the Social Distancing idea. “Quarantine, not just for the vulnerable population, but for EVERYONE.”
- A power-worshipper, “Dr. Mecher, a Department of Veterans Affairs physician, and Dr. Hatchett, an oncologist turned White House adviser — to overcome intense initial opposition.“
- Gotta keep the masses in their place!
- “The concept of social distancing is now intimately familiar to almost everyone. But as it first made its way through the federal bureaucracy in 2006 and 2007, it was viewed as impractical, unnecessary and politically infeasible.“
The Right Sort is always looking for ways, to further cement the rule of the Right Sort.
AIER’s Phil Magness got to work to find the literature responding to this 2006 and discovered: Disease Mitigation Measures in the Control of Pandemic Influenza. The authors included D.A. Henderson, along with three professors from Johns Hopkins: infectious disease specialist Thomas V.Inglesby, epidemiologist Jennifer B. Nuzzo, and physician Tara O’Toole.
Their paper is a remarkably readable refutation of the entire lock-down model.The 2006 Origins of the Lockdown Idea by Jeffrey A. Tucker
And now, we get to the end of the story:
Finally, the remarkable conclusion:
Experience has shown that communities faced with epidemics or other adverse events respond best and with the least anxiety when the normal social functioning of the community is least disrupted. Strong political and public health leadership to provide reassurance and to ensure that needed medical care services are provided are critical elements. If either is seen to be less than optimal, a manageable epidemic could move toward catastrophe.
Confronting a manageable epidemic and turning it into a catastrophe: that seems like a good description of everything that has happened in the COVID-19 crisis of 2020.The 2006 Origins of the Lockdown Idea by Jeffrey A. Tucker
So, the simplistic thinking of a child, backed by computer models — woah, a true GIGO setup! — hooked up with some power-seekers in government, who casually skipped legal and economic effects… or even the epidemiologists (contagious disease-experts) of the time… to get the outcome they wanted.
So the question becomes: how did the extreme view prevail?
The New York Times has the answer:
The [Bush] administration ultimately sided with the proponents of social distancing and shutdowns — though their victory was little noticed outside of public health circles. Their policy would become the basis for government planning and would be used extensively in simulations used to prepare for pandemics, and in a limited way in 2009 during an outbreak of the influenza called H1N1. Then the coronavirus came, and the plan was put to work across the country for the first time.The 2006 Origins of the Lockdown Idea by Jeffrey A. Tucker
The authoritarian nature of the Bush Administration — see the PATRIOT Act — continues to be paid for today.
As for the authoritarian nature of the Obama Administration… visit your airport for details.